Paraná vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 2
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
IRA
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAR
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |