Paraguay U23 vs Dominican Republic U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
VEN
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dominican Republic U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
5 - 0
RDO
71%
17%
13%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
CRC
5 - 0
RDO
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
RDO
0 - 4
USA
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 1
RDO
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SCN
0 - 2
RDO
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |