Paraguay U23s vs Japan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
POR
5 - 0
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 4
GHA
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1992 |
PAR
3 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1992 |
PAR
0 - 0
KOR
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1992 |
SWE
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
USA
2 - 2
JPN
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 0
JPN
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SVK
1 - 2
JPN
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
RSA
1 - 2
JPN
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1996 |
JPN
3 - 2
HUN
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |