Paraguay U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
URU
2 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 3
PAR
9%
17%
74%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
LBY
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
SYR
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
GER
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GER
5 - 0
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |