Paragominas vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
REM
16%
22%
63%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 1
PAR
10%
15%
75%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BPA
4 - 4
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
GAV
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PIC
3 - 1
TOC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
TOC
2 - 0
PIC
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
TOC
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 1
GUR
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |