Paragominas vs São Francisco PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
IAC
2 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
REM
3 - 2
PAR
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
AGU
37%
24%
38%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
PAR
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
FRA
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CRZ
6 - 0
FRA
92%
7%
2%
|
33 | 84 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 2
REC
30%
24%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 0
FRA
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
FRA
42%
22%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |