Paragominas vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
PAR
20%
24%
57%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAU
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
PLA
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 2
PLA
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 1
NAU
67%
18%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |