Paraense Inicial Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Paragominas vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CEC
1 - 3
PAR
11%
16%
74%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 4
PAY
12%
21%
67%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 4
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
TAP
66%
19%
16%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
PAY
0 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
SCI
1 - 4
PAY
6%
13%
82%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 4
PAY
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
PAY
1 - 0
CAS
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |