Paragominas vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
PAR
20%
24%
57%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAU
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
GEN
73%
16%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 2
NAC
17%
23%
61%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
PPE
12%
21%
66%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 1
NAC
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
PLA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |