Paragominas vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
IMP
2 - 2
PAR
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 1
TOC
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
REM
16%
22%
63%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 1
PAR
10%
15%
75%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
JCA
0 - 3
MOT
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 3
SAM
17%
23%
61%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
MOT
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |