Paradou vs Chlef analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
7º
2º
0
1º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
0 | 50 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 49 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 49 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 32 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
30.5% | 24.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
10% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
USK
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SET
2 - 1
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 0
PAR
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PAR
6 - 0
SOU
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
PAR
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chlef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 1
USB
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 1
JSK
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
CHL
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
CHL
4 - 1
USK
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |