México FC B vs Fuente el Saz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TRN
1 - 2
MEX
10%
14%
76%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MEX
3 - 2
NSD
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MEX
3 - 2
BAR
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ADE
4 - 2
MEX
46%
21%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MEX
3 - 2
VDB
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fuente el Saz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAZ
4 - 1
CAO
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SMA
2 - 3
SAZ
17%
17%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDA
5 - 2
SAZ
18%
19%
64%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAZ
4 - 1
VRO
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CSA
1 - 2
SAZ
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |