Para Hills Knights vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
11º
11º
38
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
SAP
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
ADO
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 5
NEM
9%
16%
76%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 1
CAM
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 3
MOD
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 1
WHI
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 1
MOD
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 0
ADE
46%
22%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +3 |