Para Hills Knights vs Croydon Kings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
11º
11º
28
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
ADE
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
ADE
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 3
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 3
PAR
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 4
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 2
CRO
38%
23%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
CAM
19%
21%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 1
CRO
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
ADE
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |