Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide United U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
11º
11º
29
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
ADE
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 3
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 3
PAR
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
CUM
41%
24%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
ADO
4 - 0
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Adelaide United U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 5
MOD
74%
15%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 1
ADE
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ADE
3 - 1
BRI
38%
22%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 0
ADE
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2019 |
ADE
4 - 2
PER
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |