NK Papuk Orahovica vs Varteks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
6º
51
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Papuk Orahovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
POD
3 - 0
PAP
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PAP
0 - 3
RMS
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NKS
3 - 0
PAP
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PAP
3 - 1
NKV
59%
20%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 1
VIR
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
RMS
3 - 3
NKV
51%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 3
NKS
37%
23%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NKV
4 - 1
VIR
41%
23%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PAP
3 - 1
NKV
59%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 3
POD
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |