Pafos vs Olympiakos Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
4º
23
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 2
PAF
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAF
0 - 2
REA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
PAF
1 - 0
ANO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AEL
1 - 3
PAF
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEA
0 - 2
PAF
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiakos Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 2
NEA
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
OMO
4 - 0
OLY
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 2
DOX
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
XYL
0 - 2
OLY
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ENO
2 - 1
OLY
30%
26%
43%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |