Pafos vs Karmiotissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
20
11º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PAP
2 - 1
DOX
74%
16%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
PAP
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 1
PAP
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 2
PAP
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 0
PAP
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Karmiotissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 4
TRE
25%
23%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 3
ZNI
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AKR
0 - 0
KAR
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
ANO
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
AEL
3 - 0
KAR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |