Pafos vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
AEL
1 - 0
PAP
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
PAP
0 - 1
ERM
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAP
1 - 0
ARI
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DOX
3 - 1
PAP
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ETH
3 - 0
PAP
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 1
ARI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
DOX
1 - 2
ETH
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ERM
1 - 1
ETH
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 0
AEL
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ETH
3 - 0
PAP
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |