Pafos vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
2º
1º
9
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 53 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 53 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 50 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 50 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 44 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 33 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 29 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 26 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 22 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 18 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
PAP
4 - 0
NEA
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAP
3 - 1
ANO
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 2
PAP
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PAP
3 - 0
CLU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
PAP
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 3
ARI
17%
24%
60%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 0
OMM
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
ARI
18%
23%
58%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 4
OLP
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |