Pafos vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
56
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
AEL
1 - 2
PAP
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAP
0 - 1
APO
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
PAP
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEA
0 - 2
PAP
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PAP
3 - 0
OTH
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 0
AEZ
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
DOX
2 - 0
ARI
7%
17%
76%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 3
SPA
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 1
ARI
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
AEL
0 - 4
ARI
18%
23%
60%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |