Pafos vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
1º
1º
34
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 43 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 42 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 26 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 25 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
PAF
2 - 1
OMM
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
APO
1 - 1
PAF
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 2
PAF
21%
25%
55%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PAF
2 - 0
ENO
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
PAF
1 - 1
ARI
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
APO
1 - 0
OMO
74%
19%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
ANO
1 - 3
APO
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
OMM
2 - 1
APO
12%
23%
66%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
APO
3 - 0
KAR
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ENO
0 - 1
APO
12%
22%
66%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |