Pafos vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
4º
62
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PAF
2 - 2
PAN
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAF
1 - 1
OLY
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 2
PAF
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAF
0 - 2
REA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
PAF
1 - 0
ANO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NEA
1 - 3
APO
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
APO
4 - 0
OMO
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DOX
0 - 1
APO
17%
26%
58%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
APO
2 - 0
ENO
64%
24%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
APO
0 - 1
APO
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |