Pafos vs Alki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
3 - 0
PAF
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PAF
0 - 4
DOX
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
PAE
1 - 4
PAF
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AYI
1 - 2
PAF
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
PAF
2 - 2
PAE
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
ALK
2 - 2
DOX
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ENO
1 - 1
ALK
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
ALK
0 - 3
ANO
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
APO
1 - 1
ALK
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 3
AEL
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |