Pafos vs AEL Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
1º
1º
21
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 52 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 43 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 25 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
ANO
0 - 2
PAF
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PAF
0 - 1
AEK
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAF
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
NEA
0 - 2
PAF
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
PAF
2 - 0
CEL
58%
21%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
AEL
0 - 1
APO
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
OMO
2 - 2
AEL
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 1
OMM
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
AEL
4 - 0
KAR
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
AYI
1 - 4
AEL
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |