Pafos vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
3º
6º
4º
73
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
73 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
PAP
0 - 0
NEA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
OTH
0 - 3
PAP
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PAP
4 - 3
ETH
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ANO
2 - 2
PAP
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
PAP
1 - 1
APO
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
ANO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
AEL
2 - 3
AEK
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 2
APO
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
APO
2 - 2
AEK
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 1
OMO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |