Pafos vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
5º
4º
66
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
PAP
1 - 1
OMO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
OMO
2 - 0
PAP
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
PAP
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
2 - 2
ARI
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
PAP
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 2
APO
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
4 - 0
AEK
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
WHU
4 - 0
AEK
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 1
APO
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 2
WHU
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |