Pafos vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PAP
5 - 4
CAR
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PAP
2 - 2
ANO
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 1
PAP
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
PAP
0 - 0
APO
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 1
ARI
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 0
AEK
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
AEK
8 - 0
ONI
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 2
APO
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ANO
1 - 3
AEK
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
PAE
2 - 2
AEK
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |