Papamoa vs Fencibles United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
51.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papamoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PFC
2 - 3
NUS
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
PFC
0 - 3
HAW
6%
10%
84%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 2
PFC
27%
21%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PFC
3 - 2
EAF
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PFC
2 - 1
PAP
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fencibles United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 2
MEL
13%
15%
72%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FEN
4 - 1
WAA
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NRF
0 - 1
FEN
21%
19%
61%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 8
FEN
12%
15%
72%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 2
EAS
7%
12%
81%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | +3 |