Paone vs Ilysiakos AO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ANA
1 - 1
PAO
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ENO
2 - 1
PAO
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
PAO
2 - 0
ETK
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
PAO
2 - 1
ANA
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
LAM
1 - 0
PAO
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ilysiakos AO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GIA
6 - 2
ILI
68%
20%
13%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ILI
0 - 1
PFC
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
ETH
1 - 2
ILI
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
ILI
2 - 3
PIE
37%
27%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
KAS
1 - 0
ILI
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |