Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-0
PAOK vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
PAO
0 - 2
DYN
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
DYN
4 - 0
PAO
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PAO
1 - 1
OMO
68%
17%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
OMO
0 - 2
PAO
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
FCB
6 - 1
PAO
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
ZAW
2 - 0
ZAG
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
WLO
1 - 3
ZAG
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
ZAG
0 - 0
WIS
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
ZAG
1 - 2
ARK
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
RCH
4 - 1
ZAG
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |