PAOK vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
4º
1º
74
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
74 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAO
3 - 2
AEK
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 1
PAO
15%
22%
64%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 1
PAO
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
PAO
0 - 2
BRU
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 0
PAO
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 0
ASV
23%
24%
54%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 4
OLP
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
4 - 1
LAM
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
OLP
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 1
PAO
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |