Europa League 1/32
Global 3-3
PAOK vs Metalurh Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
PAO
2 - 2
ATR
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 21 | 60 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
XAN
1 - 0
PAO
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
PAO
2 - 4
AIG
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
APO
2 - 1
PAO
19%
25%
57%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PAO
1 - 1
PAN
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MED
4 - 0
VOL
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
DYN
3 - 1
MED
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
MED
2 - 1
SOP
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MED
3 - 2
CHO
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
SOP
0 - 3
MED
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |