Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 5-6
PAOK vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 2
PAO
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BBL
0 - 1
PAO
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PAO
3 - 2
BBL
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAO
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAO
1 - 2
UNI
29%
23%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 1
MFF
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 2
PAO
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
KLA
3 - 2
MFF
23%
22%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
0 - 1
SIR
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
4 - 1
KLA
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |