Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 1-3
PAOK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
ARI
1 - 1
PAO
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PAO
2 - 1
HAL
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 0
PAO
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PAO
1 - 2
PAN
55%
24%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
IRA
3 - 0
PAO
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
MTA
1 - 0
HJK
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
HJK
0 - 0
MTA
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
MTA
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MTA
2 - 0
MAC
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ASH
1 - 1
MTA
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |