Europa League 1/32
Global 5-2
PAOK vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
LPL
1 - 2
PAO
36%
23%
41%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
SEV
4 - 0
PAO
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
PAO
2 - 0
SEV
7%
30%
63%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
SOC
2 - 1
PAO
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
PAO
1 - 0
SOC
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
LPL
3 - 0
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
LPL
1 - 1
BVR
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
LPL
1 - 2
PAO
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
CSK
8 - 2
LPL
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
LPL
4 - 1
ETA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |