Europa League 1/64
Global 5-3
PAOK vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
PAO
2 - 0
OLY
90%
8%
3%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
OFI
2 - 3
PAO
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
LEX
2 - 1
PAO
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PAO
2 - 3
KAL
87%
10%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
XAN
1 - 1
PAO
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
LEX
2 - 1
PAO
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 2
LEX
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
SCP
5 - 1
LEX
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
LEX
2 - 2
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SCP
1 - 0
LEX
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |