PAOK vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
AEK
2 - 0
PAO
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
PAO
1 - 0
LEV
82%
14%
5%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ATR
0 - 0
PAO
25%
27%
49%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
PAO
2 - 0
VER
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAO
22%
27%
52%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
ERG
0 - 0
LAR
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 0
OLP
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 3
FCN
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
APO
1 - 1
LAR
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 0
ARI
48%
29%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |