PAOK vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
PAO
1 - 0
ARI
76%
17%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
APO
3 - 1
PAO
28%
29%
44%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
PAO
2 - 1
PAN
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
PAN
3 - 1
PAO
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ERG
0 - 0
PAO
23%
27%
50%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 0
PAN
29%
29%
43%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
XAN
1 - 0
LAR
51%
29%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
LAR
3 - 0
ION
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 0
KER
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AIG
1 - 2
LAR
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |