Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
PAOK vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
WAR
1 - 1
PAO
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
PAO
2 - 2
RAP
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
RAP
0 - 0
PAO
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
PAO
1 - 0
DBU
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
DBU
5 - 0
PAO
61%
18%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
POG
1 - 0
WAR
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
WAR
1 - 1
PAO
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
WAR
0 - 0
ENE
68%
19%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
ZAG
0 - 1
WAR
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
WAR
5 - 1
TSP
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |