Cup Last 16
Global 4-0
PAOK vs Kalamata FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 3
PAO
11%
23%
66%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
PAO
1 - 0
ARI
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ATR
1 - 1
PAO
21%
27%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
PGE
0 - 2
PAO
17%
26%
57%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
KAL
0 - 2
PAO
9%
20%
72%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kalamata FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 0
PAO
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
EGA
1 - 1
KAL
21%
29%
51%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
KAL
0 - 1
ILI
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
APS
0 - 2
KAL
62%
25%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
KAL
0 - 2
PAO
9%
20%
72%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |