Q. Europa League Final
Global 6-3
PAOK vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1997 |
PAO
6 - 0
KAS
82%
14%
4%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
AOK
0 - 3
PAO
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
PAO
4 - 1
XAN
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
AEK
1 - 2
PAO
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
PAO
0 - 0
OLP
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
TNV
3 - 1
BIR
67%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1997 |
BIR
0 - 1
TNV
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1996 |
FCU
2 - 1
TNV
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1996 |
TNV
1 - 1
KSC
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
FKD
0 - 6
TNV
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |