Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 5-1
PAOK vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
PAO
23%
24%
54%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
ANT
3 - 1
PAO
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
PAO
1 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
PAO
2 - 1
STB
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
PAO
1 - 2
FCN
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 4
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ILL
1 - 3
BAS
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 1
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |