PAOK vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
5º
4º
51
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
68 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
4 - 0
PAO
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PAO
1 - 2
PAN
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
PAO
1 - 1
LAM
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PAO
4 - 2
VNF
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
OLP
3 - 1
PAO
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
OLP
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VNF
0 - 3
ARI
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
3 - 1
ARI
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 1
PAN
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
OLP
2 - 2
ARI
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |