PAOK vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
AEK
1 - 2
PAO
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
PAO
2 - 1
AEK
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PAO
0 - 0
PAN
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 1
PAO
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAO
2 - 0
OLP
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
OLP
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
ARI
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 1
PAO
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 2
ARI
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 3
AEK
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |