PAOK vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
OFI
2 - 0
PAO
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
PAO
0 - 1
PAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
IRA
1 - 0
PAO
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
PAO
0 - 1
XAN
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
PAO
1 - 0
LAR
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ARI
2 - 0
ERG
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
OLP
1 - 0
ARI
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ARI
2 - 2
APO
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
PAN
0 - 3
ARI
67%
22%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
ETK
0 - 3
ARI
19%
27%
54%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |