PAOK vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
4º
4º
43
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 55 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 53 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 51 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 31 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 28 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 20 |
13º
|
87% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
RSO
2 - 0
PAO
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAO
1 - 0
LEV
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
PAO
2 - 0
SLP
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 0
PAO
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PAO
1 - 2
VNF
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AEK
1 - 0
PGE
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 0
AEK
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AEK
2 - 0
KAL
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
PAO
1 - 1
AEK
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VNF
2 - 4
AEK
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |