PAOK B vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
6º
49
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 3
PTF
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PTF
2 - 0
MKN
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MYT
2 - 2
PTF
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
PTF
1 - 1
IRA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
PTF
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
MAK
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
ANA
72%
20%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MKN
0 - 0
LAR
13%
24%
63%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ATR
4 - 0
LAR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
MYT
77%
17%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |