Panserraikos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
56.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
14º
14º
5
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 53 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 51 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 43 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 37 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 34 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 28 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panserraikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PAO
3 - 2
PAN
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
LAR
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VNF
2 - 2
PAN
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
NIK
0 - 5
PAN
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
LEV
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATR
1 - 1
ARI
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
LAM
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
ARI
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 0
ARI
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
AZA
2 - 1
ARI
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |