Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Panionios vs Asteras Tripolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panionios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PAN
0 - 0
ERG
65%
21%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 0
PAN
40%
29%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PAN
3 - 0
PFC
75%
18%
8%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
PAN
2 - 0
VER
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAN
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
OFI
1 - 1
TRI
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TRI
3 - 0
PAN
67%
22%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
XAN
0 - 0
TRI
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 0
LEV
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 0
IRA
22%
26%
52%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |